Monday, October 10, 2016
Filled under: 4GW , foreign policy , India , Indo-Pak Relations , Pakistan , Politics , PSYWAR , Surgical Strikes
Posted by: danish Ahmed 3:15 AM
This is a follow up of my previous post on changing dynamics in India-Pakistan relationship after the terrorist attack on India military base in Uri, in which I tried to confine my views to conflict analysis rather than politics but now the whole issue seems to be spilling into domestic political landscape. Ironically, Indian government's offensive including the surgical strike was political in nature, Foreign Minister Sushma Swaraj's terse statement in the UNGA, scrapping of SAARC summit scheduled to be held in Islamabad after five out of eight members boycotting it, talks about Indus Water Treaty were all part of a multi-pronged offensive. But politics here meant political offensive against Pakistan and political pressure on international community to persuade Pakistan to mend its ways. Yet things now seem to be going in the other direction.
Saturday, October 1, 2016
Filled under: 4GW , Asymmetric Warfare , Cyber-Warfare , India , Indo-Pak Relations , Pakistan , Surgical Strikes
Posted by: danish Ahmed 11:51 PM
Unarguably Modi government's latest engagement with Pakistan marks a clear paradigm shift in the Indian establishment's policy towards it's unreliable neighbour. In a multi-pronged offensive including surgical strikes on terrorist launchpads inside PoK, diplomatic isolation, move to take away MFN status and using Indus Water Treaty (IWT) as stick to warn Pakistan is a stark message to Pakistan to stop sending in militants from across the border to carry out terror attacks on Indian soil. Denial by Pakistan of any such raid having been carried out by Indian Army hints at its reluctance to retaliate which makes this a tactical victory for India but the what can be expected in this new paradigm is yet to fully make itself clear.
Sunday, September 18, 2016
Filled under: Al Qaeda , Aleppo , Free Syrian Army , ISIS , Kurds , Russia , Syria , Syrian Crisis , USA
Posted by: danish Ahmed 2:21 AM
As the Russia-US brokered deal for ceasefire agreement enters the third day, it is still unclear if the deal described as "last chance " for Syria can in fact halt the humanitarian catastrophe underway in Aleppo and other regions of the embattled Arab country. The level of mistrust among all actors in the region is so high that even if no civilian fatality has been reported since the commencement of the ceasefire,the humanitarian aid has yet to reach the besieged population. Much has changed since I last blogged about the situation in Syria but not the brutalities and mistrust which makes lot of people wonder if this cessation of hostilities has been largely accepted by all sides to look for a solution or simply buy time to consolidate their positions,rearm and work out new strategies. What adds to the skepticism is the fact that the trust deficit is not just between middle eastern actors but also between US and Russia who are already on the opposite sides in the Ukrainian conflict. The effort to break the siege of Aleppo to deliver humanitarian aid could well have led to a full fledged proxy war between US and its regional allies Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Russia and Iran. This is perhaps another reason why the US and Russia agreed to the ceasefire deal but how long it can hold cannot be predicted given the complex situation in the war ravaged country.
Thursday, September 15, 2016
Posted by: danish Ahmed 2:37 AM
|Courtesy : pottermore.com|
Do note that I haven't seen the play,this review is of the script released in the book format and also that though I will try to avoid including spoilers,I don't offer an entirely spoiler free review especially in the first act.
Wednesday, March 9, 2016
Posted by: danish Ahmed 3:03 AM